Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2010-11
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#195
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#200
Pace65.8#234
Improvement+1.6#98

Offense
Total Offense-1.0#198
Improvement-1.7#267

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#193
Improvement+3.4#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2010 76   @ Mississippi L 60-68 14%     0 - 1 +1.7 +4.2 +5.1
  Nov 16, 2010 79   Missouri St. L 71-80 23%     0 - 2 -2.9 +2.7 +2.9
  Nov 17, 2010 24   Belmont L 60-93 9%     0 - 3 -20.1 +5.7 +5.7
  Nov 22, 2010 149   Pacific L 70-77 38%     0 - 4 -5.8 +0.7 +0.1
  Nov 23, 2010 220   Pepperdine L 62-69 55%     0 - 5 -10.2 -1.9 -1.6
  Nov 27, 2010 299   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 56-50 64%     1 - 5 +0.4 -3.3 -2.0
  Dec 01, 2010 92   @ Memphis L 71-78 OT 18%     1 - 6 +0.9 +3.6 +4.0
  Dec 11, 2010 303   Alabama St. W 77-53 84%     2 - 6 +11.7 -5.8 -5.4
  Dec 18, 2010 64   @ Georgia L 59-68 11%     2 - 7 +2.4 +5.3 +5.6
  Dec 20, 2010 265   Savannah St. W 68-55 76%     3 - 7 +3.6 -4.6 -4.2
  Dec 22, 2010 79   @ Missouri St. L 70-77 15%     3 - 8 +2.2 +4.7 +4.2
  Dec 30, 2010 292   South Alabama W 69-57 81%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +0.7 -5.6 -5.1
  Jan 01, 2011 221   Western Kentucky W 81-73 67%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +1.7 -2.9 -3.0
  Jan 06, 2011 285   @ Florida International L 70-75 61%     5 - 9 2 - 1 -9.6 -2.5 -2.3
  Jan 08, 2011 185   @ Florida Atlantic L 57-61 35%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -1.9 +0.7 +1.1
  Jan 13, 2011 232   Louisiana W 74-65 69%     6 - 10 3 - 2 +2.1 -3.3 -3.2
  Jan 15, 2011 192   Middle Tennessee W 69-65 61%     7 - 10 4 - 2 -0.7 -2.2 -2.3
  Jan 17, 2011 242   Lamar W 78-75 72%     8 - 10 -4.8 -3.8 -3.8
  Jan 20, 2011 214   @ Denver L 36-74 42%     8 - 11 4 - 3 -37.8 -1.1 -0.9
  Jan 22, 2011 175   @ North Texas L 64-83 33%     8 - 12 4 - 4 -16.5 +0.6 +1.2
  Jan 27, 2011 323   Louisiana Monroe W 62-61 89%     9 - 12 5 - 4 -14.2 -7.7 -7.4
  Jan 29, 2011 218   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 75-64 42%     10 - 12 6 - 4 +11.1 +0.3 +0.3
  Feb 01, 2011 265   @ Savannah St. L 61-67 54%     10 - 13 -9.0 -1.6 -1.7
  Feb 05, 2011 214   Denver W 60-35 66%     11 - 13 7 - 4 +18.9 -3.1 -1.7
  Feb 10, 2011 323   @ Louisiana Monroe W 85-66 75%     12 - 13 8 - 4 +10.2 -3.2 -4.6
  Feb 17, 2011 232   @ Louisiana L 61-64 45%     12 - 14 8 - 5 -3.6 -0.7 +0.0
  Feb 19, 2011 277   @ Troy W 71-63 58%     13 - 14 9 - 5 +4.1 -2.0 -1.5
  Feb 24, 2011 175   North Texas W 63-47 58%     14 - 14 10 - 5 +12.2 -2.4 -0.7
  Feb 26, 2011 218   Arkansas Little Rock W 71-63 67%     15 - 14 11 - 5 +1.8 -3.1 -2.8
  Mar 06, 2011 218   Arkansas Little Rock L 52-59 55%     15 - 15 -10.1 -2.3 -1.1
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 11.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 0.0%
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5 100.0% 100.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%